BREXIT – Where does it go from here

| Instability | Confused | Lost |

That’s the beauty of technical analysis – it reduces fundamental noise and allows you to paint a clearer picture of where the market is heading.


GBPUSD – Monthly Chart

Clearly you could see market is making lower lows ( Attributes of a bearish [ down / selling]  market ) and breaking historical level made in the 1980’s!

* Under clear circumstances this is not a prediction of future market prices to go lower but only just the current market situation *

Amazingly, historical data tends to increase the possibility of a repeated action! ( But bare in mind of the 101 possibility of it turning south to your desires )



Knowing where we are now


It has always been a curious part of me to know at what stage of my life I am at right now as compared to the general population at large. So let me not waste time and bring you to the numbers!

Consumer Price Index (CPI) –  changes of Price level on goods and services 

Consumer Price Index

Just a simple inference from the graph – This is the underlying reason why Singapore is one of the most expensive country to live in. You pay exponentially more for a simple good/service as compared to a nearby ASEAN  country.

Inflation Rate – Rate of Price Growth of goods and services

Singapore's Inflation Rate

To make it less confusing, the difference between inflation rate and consumer price index is that inflation rate talks about the growth of price on goods/services while consumer price index is talking about the price paid for goods/services

Singapore's Consumer Price Index Vs Inflation Rate

This chart compares the inflation rate and consumer price index. As you can see, the cause of high prices of goods and services that you paid is due to the inflation surge during the 1970s till 1980s and again before the Lehman brother’s crisis.

So the question now is how can you benefit from knowing this? – Everything!

This provides reasons on why you’re paying $xx more for a product over time and also the health of our economy. But i guess ultimately the most important thing is HOW MUCH MUST I EARN? to find it less challenging to live in Singapore.

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That being the median wage, you should probably be earning 10-20% more in order to keep up with inflation and consumer price index. If you don’t……. we are all in the same boat 😦