#08 – Gold (should we all buy now?)

In order know if it is a good time to buy good, we need to know the price behaviours of consumers. I have chosen to use USD/OZ (USA holds the biggest gold reserves).

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Market trend on the Monthly Chart has broke of a 8 year bull trend, making a bearish trend. As you can see market has failed to make higher high in 2016 while making a strong bearish candlestick. Thereafter, market build up (demand) became weak and show signs on bearish trend continuation pattern.

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On the Weekly Chart, market has just formed a double top (aligning with monthly analysis), giving market a higher probability to trend bearishly. Additionally, market has also failed to break recent high.

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On the Daily Chart, market seems to be in a bullish trend that has just been stopped due to the double top. A market execution trade will put you in a 1.15 RR.

So should you be buying gold now?

Honestly, I do not think you should be buying unless you’re being paid to do so. Price behaviour seems to state consumers are believing in the health of their economy ( the bet against that a recession wont happen soon).

Remember a profitable investment into Gold is only when there’s a capital gain in price. Getting at a price where market seems to be selling is only financially unwise (for now), as market seems to be selling off more. Why get it at a higher price when you can get it at a wholesale price?

 

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